Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 24.297915 25.763575 27.320960 29.107584 31.111414 33.302522 35.897640
2025-12-21 22.354624 24.331874 26.535881 29.202982 32.382922 36.106647 40.881822
2025-12-28 21.304698 23.594706 26.231099 29.543057 33.672390 38.769169 45.742600
2026-01-04 20.053897 22.474855 25.325139 29.002513 33.740559 39.828159 48.600058
2026-01-11 19.540432 22.165831 25.328870 29.525817 35.128780 42.658039 54.184820
2026-01-18 18.985903 21.752001 25.148945 29.764758 36.120403 45.013202 59.428041
2026-01-25 18.204784 21.002030 24.483687 29.295610 36.072261 45.845455 62.409115
2026-02-01 17.482067 20.284811 23.812756 28.759322 35.862136 46.382418 64.950433
2026-02-08 16.591181 19.312770 22.760100 27.632916 34.707570 45.348972 64.588296
2026-02-15 16.412778 19.249002 22.895027 28.149116 35.983969 48.226238 71.762317
2026-02-22 16.165834 19.080763 22.875683 28.436774 36.928076 50.664273 78.666540
2026-03-01 15.586553 18.450386 22.200349 27.738128 36.287735 50.348335 79.850690
2026-03-08 14.783655 17.557068 21.212347 26.657810 35.171984 49.445308 80.440129
2026-03-15 14.408929 17.225799 20.988064 26.695295 35.858772 51.865584 89.402179
2026-03-22 14.156397 17.041702 20.949776 26.994127 36.984486 55.265683 102.298853
2026-03-29 13.689988 16.543779 20.439518 26.531030 36.768518 56.023342 108.520780
2026-04-05 13.530672 16.460575 20.515041 26.978036 38.169279 60.312603 128.006365
2026-04-12 13.313081 16.284873 20.443901 27.181611 39.151188 63.926005 148.548181
2026-04-19 12.944640 15.882153 20.018962 26.781601 38.971639 64.875441 159.715808
2026-04-26 12.583247 15.477523 19.574671 26.323406 38.639080 65.409829 169.792900
2026-05-03 12.106090 14.894941 18.845228 25.357798 37.259626 63.200143 165.121865
2026-05-10 12.022972 14.873219 18.956334 25.800856 38.657922 68.180670 204.121948
2026-05-17 11.893821 14.779736 18.952988 26.047352 39.691991 72.513697 249.871153